UNC, Illinois, Michigan State, and Louisville.
I picked UNC midseason, and I had them winning my bracket, so… I’m not going to change it up now. Funny thing is, I’m really not overly impressed with how they play basketball, and they needed perhaps the worst call in the history of college basketball to beat a very very good Villanova team, but… I still think they’re going to win.
There are things I like about them. Obviously, their talent level is off the charts. If their talent is a 10, the next closest in college basketball is an 8. And I like how they get after it on defense. They turn up the pressure, they do it responsibly, they cover for each other, they sustain it throughout the game, they force the other team to do a lot of things they don’t want to do, and their D is the biggest reason they’ve gotten as far as they have. That sentence was too long. My apologies.
But, that said, it doesn’t seem like they’re always a cohesive unit offensively. Maybe they don’t have to be, since they have nearly perfect weapons at three offensive positions. But of the best offensive teams in the tournament, in terms of moving the ball, taking good shots, and playing intelligently, they aren’t close to the top.
By the way… you know who’s responsible for UNC’s incredible collection of talent? Matt Doherty. Raymond Felton, Sean May, Rashad McCants… all recruited by Doherty. The only guy who plays that wasn’t recruited by Doherty, in fact, is Marvin Williams. That, oddly enough, probably has to be considered the crowning achievement of Doherty’s career.
Now that we’re down to four, Vegas has North Carolina has 7-5 favorites to win at all. Illinois is listed at 2-1, with Louisville at 3-1, and Michigan State at 9-2.
I’m sure we’ll squeeze in time to talk about the other three teams as the week goes on… there are six full days before anyone plays again.
And just because I wanted to mention it somewhere… do you know what your chances were of filling out an actual perfect bracket, with every game right? According to computer programmer Brannon Shadrick, your odds are 1 in 9,223,372,036,854,775,808. That’s more than 9.2 quintillion. Just as a point of reference… there aren’t that many pubic hairs in the world. Not even close. Not even if you count all the ones that have been shaved. That is not a fathomable number. Your odds of filling out a perfect bracket are worse than your odds of winning the lottery, being struck by lightning, and being bitten by a shark, all in the same day.