
Why choose Milwaukee and Andrew Bogut over Cleveland and LeBron James? $22 million. That’s why.
I don’t blame Michael Redd. There’s the $22 million difference between what Milwaukee can offer and what Cleveland can offer, and on top of that, I’m still not sold on the idea that the Cavaliers front office is a good one. Would you bet your house on the fact that they’ll do a good job surrounding LeBron with talent?
Let’s look at Milwaukee first. They’re looking at a starting line-up of TJ Ford, Michael Redd, Desmond Mason, and Joe Smith. If Ford can get back to his old self during the first half of next season, and Bogut isn’t a complete washout, that should be a playoff team in the East.
Now to Cleveland. They’re looking at a starting line-up of LeBron James and cap room. Their second best player right now is Thirst. Zydrunas Ilgauskus is a free agent, and a big soft, injury-prone defensive liability, even if he does stick around. The point guard situation is pretty brutal. The power forward situation is worse.
The good news is that there’s still a lot of summer left. Larry Hughes is still out there, unrestricted… and if the Cavs were willing to max out Michael Redd, they should be willing to do the same for Larry Hughes. I don’t think Larry Hughes is a max player, but… if Redd is, so is Hughes. The market dictates that he is. Yeah, he runs hot and cold as a shooter, and yeah, his only truly great year was in a contract year, something that always scares me… but still, I trust his overall game more than I do Michael Redd’s.
Joe Johnson is still out there as well, as a restricted free agent. If they’re not comfortable with Hughes, or can’t get him… max out Joe Johnson and see if the Suns can match. What have they got to lose? Johnson’s probably the best player of the big four free agent 2-guards… he’s not quite Ray Allen, but his age makes up for the difference. If the Suns wanted to give him max dollars, they’d have done so by now. At least put them to a decision.
On top of this, the Cavs still have to find a point guard and a big man or two. If Ilgauskas bolts for Atlanta, you’re looking at a frontcourt of Drew Gooden and DeSagana Diop. Ouch. And even if they do find a way to bring in a solid point, and a good 4 and 5… they’re still pretty thin in terms of depth.
I just don’t think it looks all that good in Cleveland right now. Playing with LeBron sounds great on paper, but Cleveland’s learning right now what the Hawks have been learning for a while now… Cap room isn’t all it’s cracked up to be, and without a few small miracles, the Cavs could be in trouble. Of missing the playoffs again, and when his rookie deal runs out, of losing LeBron.



